I feel a lot of optimism in the marketplace, and I think our new year is off to a great start. Personally, I really enjoyed 2009”because while the market was strange and hard to read, it was certainly fascinating. In the first half of 2009, I would find myself looking back about 2 months”no more”when I was running comps. Without consciously making a decision to do so, as the year wore on, I gradually included more and more history when running comps. By the end of the year, I was using 1/1/09 as my start date, and simply reviewing the sales for the year. My subconscious was the first to alert me that I felt the market had stabilized.
I priced a home in Walnut Creek a few days ago using the following criteria: an identical floorplan sold in April for $650,000; that home was bank-owned (whereas my listing will be staged and beautiful), plus the inventory is very low right now¦and the market feels healthier now than then. Using this logic, I priced the home at $699,000. (I™ll let you know what it sells for!) If I were listing this home last May instead, I would have said, œour best comp just sold for $650,000, let™s price this at $635,000.
In Alamo, as I mentioned last time, it feels like more homes are selling each week. It used to be a quick job to write about the homes that sold the week before, occasionally even with a simple sentence when there were none. With the year closed, looking at sales by quarter, there were 49 homes that sold in Q4-09, up from 36 in Q3, 27 in Q2, and 21 in Q1. Definitely showing an increase of sales volume. I kept going, looking at 2008 and was surprised to find that while Q4-08 had only 29 sales, Q3-08 had 43, and Q2-08 had 35, Q1-08 had 20. So (I™ll do the math for you), while we seemed to have a huge increase in activity, the bottom line is 133 sales in Alamo in 2009 and 127 in 2008. In contrast, there were 174 sales in 2007.
Volume is interesting, but what about sales price? In 2008, the median sold price was $1,300,000 and the average sold price was $1,482,000. Priced did drop, no one will be surprised to learn this: in 2009, the median sold price was $1,150,000 and the average sold price was $1,294,000. Looking back to 2007, the median sold price was $1,435,000 and the average was $1,666,000.
Just for perspective”let™s compare to my favorite foreclosure poster town: Antioch. There were 2248 sales in Antioch in 2008 with both the average and median sales price of $245,000. In 2009, there were 2431 sales in Antioch and the average and median price dropped to $190,000. And, imagine the contrast looking back to 2007 when there were only 678 sales with an average sales price of $420,000.
Antioch™s prices in 2009 were about 77% of what they were the previous year; Alamo™s 2009 prices were about 88% of 2008. And glancing back two years, prices in Alamo were 80% in 2009 what they were in 2007, and in Antioch 2009 prices are 45% of 2007 prices.
And sales in Alamo were strong, even in the last two weeks of the year. Over the two holiday weeks (which were short and busy), seven homes sold. The statistics table is below, and the details of these sales follow:
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2704 Danville Blvd $782,100 4 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, 2954 sq feet, .54 acre lot, built in 1953. This home, while located right on busy Danville Blvd, is secluded behind a private gate. Bank-owned and priced right, this home sold for over asking at $800,000 or $265 per sq foot.
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1440 Finley Lane $874,665 4 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms, unknown sq footage, .70 acre lot, built in 2009. Another bank-owned home (those nice round numbers they like always give it away!), this one was hard to price because it was an unfinished project, buyer to complete the construction. And the home is adjacent to the freeway, which always makes a sale tougher. The bank started at $920,700, and sold after 75 days on the market for $782,000.
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2425 Alamo Glen Drive $1,100,000 3 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms, 3521 sq feet, .46 acre lot, built in 1979. Charming and unique home, I found it lovely but it was very distinctive and sometimes that makes it harder to find the right buyer. It first came on the market in April priced at $1,410,000, and sold for $1,040,000 or $295 per sq foot.
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391 Castle Crest Rd $1,185,000 5 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, 3657 sq feet, .64 acre lot, built in 1973. Dramatic and special, this home features amazing views. It started on the market in March, priced at $1,400,000, and sold for an even $1,100,000 or $301 a sq foot.
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1554 Serafix Rd $1,500,000 6 bedrooms, 4.5 bathrooms, 4671 sq feet, .41 acre lot, built in 1998. Located in Stonebridge, this home was a short sale with a surprisingly quick process. It came on the market in July for $1.649,000, and went pending November 10th. An impressive (for short sale timelines) 6 weeks later, it closed for $1,500,000 or $321 a sq foot.
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342 Golden Grass Drive $1,906,990 4 bedrooms, 4.5 bathrooms, 4622 sq feet, .42 acre lot, built in 2008. This is one of those brand new homes across from Monte Vista HS. After 463 days on the market (without any significant price changes), the home sold for $1,906,500 (so very close to the asking price¦) or $422 per sq foot.
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435 Legacy Drive $2,595,000 5 bedrooms, 5.5 bathrooms, 6094 sq feet, 2.6 acre lot, built in 2008. This is one of the new homes built up on the Ridge in Roundhill. Days on market are unknown, but the homes have all been for sale even before they were completed”but they weren™t listed on the MLS necessarily. This home sold for $2,250,000 or $369 per sq foot.

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